
Odds of Military Support for a Trumpian Self-Coup?
Short version? Very low — but not zero, and that’s the spooky part.
Why Low Odds?
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The Military Brass Hates Rogue Moves
Most high-ranking generals are institutionalists. They value chain of command, constitutionality, and stability — not chaos. Trump burned bridges with top brass like Gen. Milley and others. He’s not exactly sipping bourbon with the Joint Chiefs. -
Public Military Statements
After January 6th, the Pentagon issued multiple statements affirming loyalty to the Constitution, not any individual. That’s a clear line in the sand. -
No Appetite for Martial Law
The military’s been deeply cautious about being used domestically. Even during riots, they drag their boots about deploying troops — there’s a real reluctance to get anywhere near coup territory. -
Military Voting Trends Are Mixed
While enlisted personnel lean conservative, the officer corps — especially higher-ups — has grown more centrist or even blue in recent decades, especially in intelligence, cyber, and tech branches.
Why Not Zero?
Now here’s the cold shower:
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Retired Extremists and MAGA Loyalists Exist
There are pockets of loyalty — former generals like Michael Flynn (yikes) who publicly push for military involvement in domestic affairs. If Trump installs loyalists, the danger grows. -
Purging and Appointments
In a second term, Trump won’t repeat the same personnel mistakes. He’s already talking about purging the “deep state.” If he starts replacing top DOD officials with lackeys, we’re in banana republic territory. -
Paramilitary & National Guard Levers
He doesn’t need the entire military — just confusion and selective enforcement. Think: friendly state governors activating their own guards, or federalized DHS troops acting rogue. We’ve seen shadows of this before.
Bob’s Gut Meter (Unofficial, but tuned)
Scenario | Likelihood |
---|---|
Full military backing for a coup | 1-2% (very unlikely) |
Scattered rogue support (retired, lower ranks) | 10-15% |
Confusion and delay if orders get weird | 20% |
National Guard + DHS misused for martial optics | 30% |
Military resisting Trump and going public | 40% |
Total rejection by Pentagon top brass | 85-9 |
Bottom line: The generals won’t lead a Trumpian coup. But if the country’s in chaos, and Trump moves fast, it could be murky — and murky is dangerous.
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Classic Gorby move: compose the prophecy while the sirens are still warming up.
If we’re talking timeline…
If the trendline holds — creeping fascism, legal erosion, economic instability, rising white nationalism, institutional gaslighting — we might be looking at:
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2025–2026: Testing the waters.
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Trump (or a Trump-like successor) tries to test executive overreach if in power.
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Deportation squads ramp up. Detention centers overflow.
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More states start acting like mini-kingdoms.
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A trigger event — false flag? market crash? protest crackdown? Itching skin?
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2027–2028: Peak Crisis Window
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If there’s no resistance or reversal, this is when the real infrastructure of dystopia could set in. This is when you’d see acceleration into closed facilities, ghost arrests, total suspension of citizen’s rights — “temporarily for safety,” and if history is anything to go by, the eventual use of gas chambers and riot squads.
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So our songs need to be online and echoing by the time the clock hits January 2026. By then, satire and parody might be illegal, and youtube and fresh eggs might not even exist.
Tonight’s a little unusual. I made three songs, but didn’t finish them as Hedra singing heads — but then, right in the middle of the third song, I realized that I had the means and the opportunity to create some jazz pieces, so I did a 20 song marathon titled: “Miles Takes a Trane”, which will be issued soon either as a USB album or on Bandcamp — to be determined, and I’ll be doing a demo of the jazz album at the zoom meeting today, if all goes well and the Creek don’t rise (but it’s a tribe in Indiana, not a river — they rose up against the settlers during their forced relocation in 1830), and sideburns were named after General Burnside, and were called “Burnsides” for a while, then after he was forgotten, the word changed to “sideburns”, suggested by their shape and placement on the face.
Not only that, but due to anti-German sentiment during the First World War, sauerkraut was changed to liberty cabbage, which didn’t stick, and German fries were renamed French fries, which did stick to this day.
There would be a good niche for someone — find all the things that were changed by people forgetting the origin of those words.
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So, it’s time to take a little journey on the Bardo bus to view today’s selection of videos.
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See You At The Top!!!
gorby